Sorry

It’s been a little quiet around here due to school, work, and other stuff. Part of that “other stuff” is that I’m now the Thrashers representative at The Hockey Writers. Great site, great writers, great people. Check it out. Oh, and check out my posts, too, because you love me that much.

Trade

Anssi Salmela, 24, Finland, 511, 191lbs

Anssi Salmela, 24, Finland, 5'11", 191lbs

Niclas Havlid, 35, Sweden, 60, 200lbs

Niclas Havlid, 35, Sweden, 6'0", 200lbs

Niclas Havelid has been traded to the New Jersey Devils for 24 year-old Finnish defenseman Anssi Salmela.

Salmela’s stats are neither impressive or unimpressive. And re-signing Havelid may be a possibility over the offseason.

My pessemistic side says, “I’m not crazy about it,” but I’ll need to see some games before I judge.

How Ilya Got His Groove Back

I was always a big proponent of Kari Lehtonen getting his groove back, but he’s had his groove most of the season. I think it’s time to recognize the real lost-and-found superstar of the NHL. His name is Ilya Kovalchuk…you know…that guy who is constantly appearing in the Scotiabank star of the night? You know that guy who was second to Alex Ovechkin last season? You know…the first ever Russian drafted first overall? Kovy!

And not only are his numbers showing it, watch a game. I have to admit, watching Kovy earlier in this season would sometimes leave me smacking my forehead. I think many of us felt like he was being a one-man show or “dogging it” to get out of Atlanta. It’s amazing what captaincy and having a new baby can do. Since then, only a handful of games he’s failed to score. He’s helping his brothers out, too, especially with the game versus Carolina last weekend with three assists. Kovalchuk is the exciting player that he used to be, and it’s showing for our team.

So, Kovy’s gotten better. How are the Thrashers doing? Well, looking at the team stats, I notice that everybody’s +/- is improving nicely. Todd White has the same amount of points as Mike Green, Henrik Zetterberg, Patrick Kane, Dan Alfredsson, Mikko Koivu, and Mike Ribiero. Slava has more points than Anze Kopitar, Eric Staal, Jason Spezza, Ryane Clowe, and the same amount of points as Phoenix captain Shane Doan and Jamie Langenbrunner. As far as individuals, we’re at the same level or better than some big names. The Defense, though. Man, it has to improve. Our only defenseman in the top 30 defensemen is Ron Hainsey at #26.  After that, scroll way down to #91 and you’ll see Niclas Havelid. He’s tied with Tobias Enstrom with 15 points.

I’m not about to identify the exact holes we need to fill, but with our defense as nice as it’s been, we can’t be too far off from a team that wins a playoffs game or two. I do know there’s a couple things to address: consistency, dedication, and getting our fans back.

But for now, let’s take pride in a real NHL leader: Ilya.

Edit: And after posting this, Ilya Kovalchuk is the #1 NHL star for February. Thanks for the update, Ben!

Crap, with a ‘Capital’ C…

If you want my un-sugar coated opinion, that first period and our penalty kill (albeit another shorthanded goal) was 100% disgraceful. Penalties cost us tonight. We could have easily taken this game. Easily.

I love how we’ve started becoming the shorthanded goal specialists, but it’s a gamble. We’ve lost focus on actually killing the penalty, and before we know it, we’re right back dead last in the league in penalty killing.

Yes, it was close. But just when I think the Thrashers are getting good, they have games like this. They trail 2-0 in the first five minutes of the game. Our defense isn’t there and it’s turnover after the next.

Consistency. It’s what’s for dinner.

We still let in way too many goals. On the west coast trip, we gave away 14 goals in exchange for the 18 for us. You could cheer and brag all you want about 18 goals in four games, but what about the 14 we allowed? Great offense, but where’s the defense? Of all the victories in 2009, five were more than one goal apart, three games more than two goals apart (New Jersey, Nashville, Anaheim). We’ve won ten games since the new year.

This is why I’m not a fan of the moral victory. Moral victories have gotten us as far as 50 points. We’re 62 games into the season.

Go back to my roster examination. Where are the real missing pieces of the puzzle? The better question in my cynicism is…where’s the puzzle? Atlanta Spirit might have make another run to K-Mart and buy one. Don Waddell will put the pieces together…and what do we have?

An AHL team.

NHL Superstars and Stripes Forever

Okay, really cheesy title, but I couldn’t think of anything else patriotic. It’s Ovie v Kovy tonight. Ovechkin, after a somewhat slow start and missing a few games this season has become hot and is the NHL’s leading scorer. He’s on pace for around 55.

Anyway, if you heard that Alex Ovechkin and Mike Green got seriously injured in a golf cart accident, you’ve been misled. While the humanity in you is relieved, this pisses off the Thrashers fan in you who will face the two of them healthy and in one piece. Washington’s a tough bunch, and Green and Ovechkin are sick together. Semin always brings a slap-happy performance himself.

I haven’t posted in a couple days, but man…I’m sorely disappointed I missed the Avs game. From what I heard, we were really struggling in the third, and the text message updates I was reading affirms that. The Avalanche are my favorite Western team, so it was somewhat disappointing to see how they allow two short-handed goals against a team like the Thrashers. It’s a shame, but these guys aren’t the Avalanche I used to know. But the bottom line: The Thrashers are my team and I’ll take the W.

So now, it’s time to show our road skills. It’s time to kick some Boudreau butt, just like game one. Can we do it?

Waiting for the deadline; rebuilding for the future…

Here is a list of every Thrasher who has played at least one game in the NHL and their contract status. Any observations?

RFA UFA Returning
LW J. Lavallee   E. Boulton
      I. Kovalchuk
      V. Kozlov
      B. Sterling
C E. Christensen E. Perrin B. Little
  J. Slater M. Reasoner R. Peverley
  C. Thorburn   C. Stuart
      T. White
RW C. Armstrong    
  J. Crabb    
  J. Motzko    
D S. Lehman N. Havelid Z. Bogosian
  N. Oystrick   T. Enstrom
  B. Valabik   G. Exelby
      R. Hainsey
G K. Lehtonen   J. Hedberg
      O. Pavelec

Now hopefully we can see just a glimpse why John Anderson compares the line combinations to Keno. A lot of centers. Anyhow, this is what we’re looking at during the offseason. Let me be honest, we might be a few steps away from being a team that enters the playoffs, but we’re not even close to being a team that actually competes. God knows how long that will be.

What worries me is how Atlanta is a notorious sports sewer, and players like Dan Boyle have implied that signing with Atlanta is…well, “oh God, no!” We seem to be paving the way for free agents to come, but we’ve had little luck in getting real talent this way via free agency. We’ve done a good job of letting talent walk, though. For those who support the “flush the team down the toilet and start over” idea, I’m warming up to that. I warm up to it because I look at what we have, what may walk out the door after this season, and what assets we have to rebuild the team.

So let’s assume the worst. Let’s assume we let every single free agent, restricted or unrestricted, walk out. How do you work with this roster?

Returning
LW E. Boulton
  I. Kovalchuk
  V. Kozlov
  B. Sterling
C B. Little
  R. Peverley
  C. Stuart
  T. White
RW  
D Z. Bogosian
  T. Enstrom
  G. Exelby
  R. Hainsey
G J. Hedberg
  O. Pavelec

That leaves gaps in line combinations that will roughly look like this:

Kovalchuk—Little—___________
Kozlov—White—___________
Sterling—Peverley—___________
Boulton—Stuart—___________

Bogosian—Enstrom
Hainsey—Exelby
___________—___________

Pavelec
Hedberg

And that does not eliminate any one roster player under contract next season. What RFA’s do you make offers for? Who from Chicago makes the full-time roster next season? Which of our draft picks from this year will be ready next year? And who do you put out of their natural position?

Well, Armstrong, Reasoner, and Havelid are high on the trade rumor mill, so I’ll eliminate them from the re-sign equation. I’ve also heard that White might be on the block, but it makes no sense to move him. He’s a 2.5 mil/year contract until 2012, and that’s not a contract other teams are eager to eat up unless if a high return is in the works.

Who do we move out of their position? The only one I want moved out of position is Bryan Little. With the line combinations above, I’d like to see Peverley back on Kovalchuk’s line. He had the speed to keep up with Kovy, and the chemistry was just beginning. I personally believe Anderson was too quick to pull the plug on those two. Knowing Little built amazing chemistry with Kovy on the west coast trip, I’d have to settle with:

Kovalchuk—Peverley—Little

When the Little White Russian line was hot, I really enjoyed the clean passes and smooth plays between Kozlov and White specifically. This would be the spot to put a top-notch free agent or make a well-thought out trade. We’re not a team to obtain a superstar, so the second line will have to do. I’m not comfortable with any of our boys from Chicago thrown into an NHL top 6 quite yet. I see a Kotalik, or Afinogenov coming here. We could make an offer to Vancouver for Bernier or, even greater, San Jose for Clowe. If we’re looking for more of a committed RW, we could grab Svatos out of Colorado.

Kozlov—White—Free Agent/Trade

The third and fourth lines are where we start giving some Wolves their big break. I haven’t been overly impressed with Lavallee like I thought I would be, so he’s not a top 6. I think it’s time to give Machacek and Holzapfel their break in the NHL. Thorburn can come back, too, and play RW.

Lavallee—Stuart—Machacek
Boulton—Holzapfel—Thorburn

There exists one gap still in our second line, and many questions about the rest of the lines. We’re desperate for talent, and I hope the organization doesn’t stand stagnant in the free agent market.

As far as defense, this ideally would be a quick fix. We could assume Hedman, but I absolutely do not think we’re doomed to a #1 or 2 pick at this point. Ryan Ellis has been compared to Rafalski, but we’re likely to land a forward in a deep draft of forwards. How do we fix defense? Arturs Kulda, my friend. Extend Valabik. Give Lewis a look during training camp.

Bogosian—Kulda
Enstrom—Hainsey
Exelby—Valabik

With the dealing of Jason Williams and Mathieu Schneider, we’ve made it clear that we’re sellers. I hope this means we’ll finally have the assets to bring in true talent to the team, but any talk is pure speculation. I’m not about to put pipe dream superstars into my projected lines. At this point, getting superstar talent is unrealistic with the assets we have. Let’s just hope Peverley turns some heads, Bryan Little continues to be a rising star, Kozlov finishes out his career with heart, and that our farm system will work to our advantage. Other than that, have a lot of faith. A real lot.

Shark’d!

Ouch to that game. Once again, I acknowledge the one who prevented a total humiliation in the form of a shutout. Thank you, Bryan Little. And now, he has scored on all 4 games on this west coast trip after a 10-game goal drought. I’d say his mojo is back.

I can’t talk too much about the game, unfortunately. When you live in Chicago, you must be at home to catch your Center-Ice enabled telecast. With that said, I’m sitting in a hotel room where I am attending a weekend conference, so the best I had was the radio and text updates. It sounds like something must have gone right, though, if we kept San Jose scoreless for a whole 40 minutes and 30 seconds.

But you can’t escape this: San Jose is a team possessing unholy talent. If Cheechoo or Thornton have the puck, it’s something to bit your nails over if you’re not a Sharks fan.

To the few reading this, let’s hear your thoughts on the game yesterday afternoon. Anybody want to affirm or deny some of the “bs” penalties I’ve heard about?

Coyote Ugly

The game isn’t over yet, but Phoenix may break their home losing streak tonight. 5:00 left and the Thrashers are really struggling just to get a shot on goal. It’s a little depressing to watch. We’ll see what happens here.

Edit: KOVALCHUK TIES IT!!! Oh, it feels great! Sportsouth mentioned how great the chemistry is building between Kovalchuk and Little. They should have been together since the beginning, really.

Edit 2: Nice effort on Jovanovski by Thorburn, but that earns a suspension in my opinion. Oh, and that save by Lehtonen is the very reason I hate Kari haters.

Edit 3: OT, and an amazing save at 2:41 by Lehtonen! Also, is it just me, or do I see a lot of Havelid this game? I love it.

Edit 4: I have to give credit to where credit is due, but Shane Doan is an extremely talented hockey player. If you’re a Thrashers fan, he’s a legitimate reason to be nervous. And as I’m typing that, BIG shot by Doan, BIG save by Lehtonen with 38 seconds left in OT. This OT is constant stoppage. My heart is racing.

Edit 5: Oh, God. Shootouts make me crap myself. No lie.

Shootout:

  • Brian Little: miss
  • Joakim Lindstrom: miss
  • Slava Kozlov: goal
  • Peter Mueller: miss
  • Ilya Kovalchuk: miss
  • Shane Doan: goal
  • Erik Christensen: miss
  • Steve Reinprecht: miss
  • Todd White: miss
  • Viktor Tikhonov: miss
  • Rich Peverley: miss
  • Olli Jokinen: miss
  • Eric Perrin: miss
  • Mikkel Boedker: miss
  • Colby Armstrong: miss
  • Daniel Carcillo: wins it

Damn. Goodnight.

Lavs May Play Against Phoenix

According to Ben Wright’s Twitter feed, Jordan Lavallee will replace Eric Boulton tonight against the Phoenix Coyotes.

Already called that one.

I predict 1 or more points out of Jordan tonight.

What to do until Thursday…

Number one, first and foremost, I’d like to know who let this logo see the light of day.

Secondly, the Thrashers are hot on the road. Perhaps with exception to the last period of the Kings game, the boys of Atlanta are working hard. They know this is a challenging trip, and while John Anderson is studying his Keno board, the boys are working on winning.

Thursday’s game will be against a struggling Phoenix Coyotes. Honestly, the Yotes are one of those teams I just haven’t followed, but I do follow the standings, and I know this team has climbed and fallen on the kiddy roller coaster that is the Western Conference. In other words, the Western Conference is any one’s game, but Phoenix as of late is broadening the horizons along with the Colorado Avalanche. I thought just a month ago that the Coyotes were a near-certain playoff team in ‘09.

But this is the Atlanta Thrashers. With that said, we need this reminder every game: do not judge a team by their place in the standings, for better or worse. The Thrashers could clobber Detroit, or on the other side, get clobbered by a struggling Buffalo. Naw, I’m not referring to any specific “bigger and better” seasons…

Whatever Captain Kovy and the funky bunch has done the last two games, they need to figure out how to do that consistently and well. Saturday’s game against San Jose still worries me. Are we ready? Reader, what do you think?

Lavallee watch: Jordan Lavallee did not play Monday night versus the Los Angeles Kings. I have reason to believe either Boulton or Christensen could be benched in favor of Lavs. Even though Crusher saved us in the shootout, the 65 minutes of Crusher hockey was less than desirable within his less-than-desirable season.

With nothing game-day to really discuss until Thursday, I’ll say give a good faithful read to the blogs listed on the right side. I love the Thrashers blogosphere.

Oh, and the blog, though really new, already has a facelift. I think it’s much easier and cleaner. Whaddya think?